On this day…

On this day…

Photo of black protesters taking a knee in the street and holding signs that read Black Lives Matter Always,
George Floyd protests in Uptown Charlotte, 5/30/2020 (IG: @clay.banks) Photo by Clay Banks on Unsplash (https://unsplash.com/photos/ak0F3mwgr0c)

In the eddy of time, some events rise to the surface and stay there. Continue reading “On this day…”

Another black man dead…Only this time?

Another black man dead…Only this time?

people carrying signs of protest during a peace rally
Photo by Natalie Chaney on Unsplash (https://unsplash.com/photos/KaLSXcB-crY)

The “Letter from Birmingham City Jail” was written seven months before I was born, and just under five years before Martin Luther King, Jr. was murdered.

The 16th Street Baptist Church was bombed just under two months before my birth, and JFK was assassinated within my first 20 days on the planet.

This shit is toxic, it’s REAL, and it’s deadly. Continue reading “Another black man dead…Only this time?”

Election 2018: Analysis Complete. Now what? (Part 2)

Election 2018: Analysis Complete. Now what? (Part 2)

In Election 2018: The End of Everything (Part 1), I introduced the second “Cassie’s List” compilation, which includes all the historic data that matters to ME from the last six election cycles for US Senate and House seats. Unlike the work I did for the Presidential election in 2016, this delves deeper into state politics and shows why some state numbers are better predictors than others.

The list, you may recall, is here:

Cassandra’s List

The data’s complete now, based entirely on the stats published by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). I’ve downloaded the PDFs in the event that the current government decides to erase the data, which I can imagine they could do, since they’ve already done it with climate research and other inconvenient truths. Continue reading “Election 2018: Analysis Complete. Now what? (Part 2)”

Election 2018: The End of Everything (Part 1)

Election 2018: The End of Everything (Part 1)

I’m almost done compiling data on the senate races from 2006-2016. This stuff takes time because I’m using at least three sources (including the Federal Election Commission) and scouring them for the data is a royal PITA.

When I’m done, there’ll be a better list of who to direct those precious support dollars, assuming you want a blue candidate to win.That’s 10 years’ worth of data, and it’s proving to be relatively reliable. If I have the vote counts for all the republicans and all the democrats who voted in the primary, regardless of their candidate selection, I can predict the outcome of the general, with an error ratio of around 4. Continue reading “Election 2018: The End of Everything (Part 1)”

But you have to stay…

But you have to stay…

Ya know, since I started posting about this election cycle, the rhetoric has gotten increasingly difficult to take, from both sides. For those of us who are all #VoteBlueNoMatterWho, it’s a no-win scenario.

From either side, I hear that I’m supporting someone disingenuous or incapable of winning. Hillary supporters think Bernie can’t do the job, that his plan is lacking, and that all he has is momentum, and not as much of that as he ought to have. Her supporters think I’m somehow less of a feminist if I support Sanders instead of Clinton.

Bernie supporters think that she’s a pathological liar, she’s in bed with Wall Street and not interested in serving MY needs, and all sorts of other things besides.

Never mind that the press and politicians haven’t touched Bernie and his Democratic Socialism yet because until he’s a real threat (which they’re denying as hard as they can because they would rather continue to smear Hillary). This crap isn’t new. In fact, it’s nearly 40 years old, and ought to be recognizable as a historically embarrassing time in our history. Except, of course, that the history books bear NO mention of what those years really looked like. And haven’t been taught. If the student never studies and never sees what happened, did it ever happen at all? That’s the core of 1984, and the whole of the GOP’s strategy against Hillary Clinton.

Meanwhile, there’s…Trump. Three times married, crude, lewd, greedy narcissistic jerk that he is, he’s garnering the Christian Conservative vote, the White Supremacy vote, the Never Hillary (and Bernie won’t get there) vote, and the Narcissist vote. He’s got the backing of the NRA, and pretty soon, the Koch brothers will line up behind him because it’s the only way they get their way in politics.

Someone asked if anyone else was sick of the rhetoric. I raised my hand, with a link to this article on Rawstory.com regarding Trump trolls posing as Clinton/Sanders supporters, and the link to the stories out of West Virginia talking about the open primary there and who actually crossed the line and why.

BUSTED: Trump-loving comment trolls pose as Sanders and Clinton supporters to divide Democrats

(Note that 4Chan is NSFW, but you can still see the original trolling posts there.) I got back a comment that it was just one guy.

Sigh.

Every time this subject has come up, I’ve said that I won’t stay in the US if Trump wins. I have no desire to live in a fascist theocracy or dictatorship, and I’m absolutely certain that’s what’s coming, with the certain replacement of three to four Supreme Court justices within the coming presidential term.

And the response? You can’t leave! Who’ll fight the battle for the US?

Well, let me tell you, it won’t be me.

I don’t love my country so much that I’m willing to die or be maimed for it. If that makes me a heretic, so be it, but I know for a fact I’m not alone here. I chose not to serve in the military for a reason, and I’ll be damned if I’ll make cannon fodder out of my kids because I opted to stay and fight.

The last post I made, You say you want a revolution…, got a *crickets* response. People really think that revolution is actually a bloodless, painless affair. They truly don’t understand history, have no frame of reference for what freedom fighters did and what it cost them to do it. They can’t fathom what life was like for Anne Frank, or how concentration camps actually worked because teachers don’t teach the history anymore. They’re too busy making sure their students can pass the Pearson tests that fail to cover these aspects of history, whitewash what slavery was truly like, and promote ignorance over reality and historical fact because it’s inconvenient.

No, it’s NOT my job to stay here, take up arms, and fight for my country. It’s my job to protect my kids and to raise them in a safe environment, to ensure their rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Nowhere in that language does it say I have to wield a gun to make that happen, no matter how many 2A apologists want me to think otherwise.

If that’s all the US has left, to give itself over to misogyny and hate, I’m out of here. My passport’s current. Is yours?

If you want me to stick around, make sure Trump doesn’t win.

That’s YOUR job.

You say you want a revolution…

You say you want a revolution…

The Beatles wrote the song Revolution in 1968. It was published as the B-side to Hey Jude and then released in a different version on The White Album.

Listen to the words.

“When you talk about destruction, don’t you know that you can count me out”

I got into an argument over the weekend with a British-born resident of the US who is all in with “Revolution or Bust (his own hash tag). More than the Bernie-Or-Bust movement, or anything that has to do with Hillary Clinton’s fitness for office over Bernie Sanders’ ability to be elected and serve, it got me to wondering just what sort of “revolution” the writer had in mind.

I mean, let’s face it. Even the Glorious Revolution wasn’t actually a bloodless coup.

When I ask what the word “Bust” actually means to the people who keep using it, I get vague responses. Same with the word “Revolution.” Unclear on the concept, these people seem to think that all they have to do is withhold their support for the candidate they don’t like, and somehow by magic everything will be all right come November 9th.

I just don’t see it that way.

This country is way, WAY overdue for a civil war. Ripe, even.

Some of us still harbor ill will based on the last one, which ended 151 years ago. Imagine how long it will take us to recover this time.

Don’t believe me? Look at Germany.

From Kaiser Wilhelm II’s disastrous path to the first World War to the fall of the Berlin Wall, it took Germany close to 100 years to recover and start to heal. It’s not done yet.

When England lost its last great battle for empire, becoming the war zone that we recognize today, it never truly recovered. Spain, France, all these countries came to the aid of the US during the first Civil War.

Now?

Who will end the war if Trump’s supporters sense a government takeover that costs their favorite misogynist carnival barker his role as President and Presumptive Emperor of the USA?

What will that Revolution look like?

Let’s see.

According to GunPolicy.org, there are somewhere between 270,000,000 and 310,000,000 guns in this country, owned by private citizens. In contrast, there are somewhere around 3,850,000 military and law enforcement guns in this country.

Read that again.

That, to my eyes, is a roughly 10:1 ratio of privately owned weaponry. Realistically, there are nowhere near as many households that own the kind of weapons we’re talking about. It’s not a one-to-one ratio because there are roughly 323 million US residents within our borders, including the elderly and children.

Now you tell me, what will a revolution look like?

Next question: How many of those households are planning to vote for a Republican come November? Do you know the answer?

Neither do I, but I have a reasonable guess and right now it’s not looking good for liberals in this country.

For some folks I know, this is no big deal. They figure we’ve survived conservative presidents in the past, and we’ll bounce back.

I think that’s not true. The GOP have done their level best to ensure that Hillary Clinton’s record is entirely questionable, even if that insurance is at least partially baseless. Is she perfect? No. Neither is Bernie Sanders, though he got my vote in the Primary. I believe he believes what he’s saying, and I want to believe he’ll accomplish what he wants to accomplish, but then Barack Obama thought the same thing when he declared his candidacy.

President Obama got my vote because of the toxic crap the GOP piled on the Clintons. The only thing that they could make stick at all was an unfortunate lapse in personal judgment that was never worthy of the impeachment process.

And now, with Independents, Greens and Libertarians all hollering for Hillary’s head on a pike, we’re one step closer to that civil war.

Revolution? Bloody likely.

Best to get your passport in order, or make sure your guns are clean and loaded. You might need one or the other, come January, if not sooner.

 

 

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